Fact-checking social media posts about Biden’s lead in battleground states

Every major television network and the Associated Press have said Joe Biden is the projected winner of the presidential election. But on social media, some say the race is still too close to call.

"Joe Biden is no longer the President-elect according to RealClearPolitics," says text in a Nov. 9 Instagram post, which is a screenshot of a tweet from Samantha Marika, a conservative internet personality and conspiracy theorist.

On Facebook, some users shared electoral maps to support their claims that Biden has not yet clinched the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House. Others said President Donald Trump made up ground in battleground states where Biden was leading, such as Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

(Screenshot from Facebook)

"This just in: Biden loses Pres-Elect Status, as Pennsylvania is now a toss up," says a Nov. 10 post. "CNN changes GA and AZ back to too close to call."

The posts were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook, which owns Instagram.)

In a Nov. 9 tweet, Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal lawyer, amplified the claim that Real Clear Politics "took PA away from Biden and made it a toss up." So we wanted to take a closer look.

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

stated on April 1, 2024 in an interview on CNN

“President Biden is the first candidate in history, the first president in history, that has used the federal agencies to censor political speech ... to censor his opponent."

The posts are inaccurate — Real Clear Politics never called Pennsylvania for Biden. The political news site still has several battleground states as toss-ups and has not projected a winner.

In a Nov. 9 tweet, Tom Bevan, co-founder and president of Real Clear Politics, said Giuliani’s claim was false.

"We never called Pennsylvania, and nothing has changed," he said.

Many of the Facebook and Instagram posts we found cite an article from TrendingPolitics.com, a conservative website that has made unsupported claims in the past. The site reported Nov. 9 that Real Clear Politics had "REMOVED Pennsylvania from Biden's electoral vote total," but it later updated its story to indicate that’s not the case.

Every major TV network and the AP have called Pennsylvania for Biden, which puts him past the threshold needed to win the election. The result will be finalized Jan. 6 when Congress counts the electoral votes.

As of Nov. 10, only Fox News and the AP had called Arizona for Biden, despite what some social media posts say. The major networks and the AP have not called Georgia, where a recount is likely. CNN did not "uncall" Arizona or Georgia. 

Even without those two states, Biden would have enough electoral votes to win the election. He is the president-elect.

The Instagram post is inaccurate. We rate it False.