Does Milwaukee, scene of unrest after fatal police shooting, have top black male incarceration rate?

After a weekend of arsons and attacks on police in the Sherman Park neighborhood of her home city, U.S. Rep. Gwen Moore was interviewed Aug. 15, 2016 on MSNBC.

There was this exchange between talk show host Lawrence O’Donnell and the Milwaukee Democrat:

O’Donnell: One of the things that the history of this subject shows everywhere in the United States, is that when you get a violent community reaction like this, it is never for that one individual incident, it's always an accumulation of past grievances that have not been satisfactorily addressed in terms of the community's understanding of them, at least. Is that the case in Milwaukee?

Moore: Oh, absolutely, Lawrence. You know, we have one of the youngest African-American populations in the country. And the dearth of resources for summer jobs, for economic well being, for basic things like the ability to pay rent for women and the high incarceration rate for black males. We have the highest incarceration rate among African-American men in the country. And it creates a powder keg.

Similar claims were made by other Milwaukee Democrats, including state Sen. Lena Taylor on CNN, and have been reported by national media.

So, does Milwaukee have the nation’s highest incarceration rate for black males?

There is data to indicate that Milwaukee ranks very high.

But there isn’t city-level data on a national level to know whether it ranks highest.

Moore’s evidence

To back Moore’s claim, her office cited a study from the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee entitled "Wisconsin’s Mass Incarceration of African American Males: Workforce Challenges for 2013." It has been widely cited, but its major finding is about Wisconsin, not Milwaukee, and it is dated.

The study said that as of 2010, 12.8 percent of working-age African-American men were in state prisons or local jails -- the highest such rate in the country, with Oklahoma ranking second.

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The study also said that in Milwaukee County, over half of African-American men in their 30s and half in their early 40s had been incarcerated in state correctional facilities at some point in the past.

Other experts

Keith Humphreys, a Stanford University psychiatry professor who has written on the black incarceration rate, and Marc Mauer, executive director of The Sentencing Project, said the UWM study appears to be solid research. They also said both Milwaukee and Wisconsin have high rates of black male incarceration.

But they and University of Wisconsin-Madison sociology professor Pamela Oliver,  whose research work includes the Wisconsin Racial Disparities Project, told us there simply isn’t city-level data nationally in order to rank Milwaukee.

Oliver said it’s likely Milwaukee would rank high among larger U.S. cities with large black populations, but that "many members of the general public incorrectly assume that because 70 percent of Wisconsin’s black people live in Milwaukee County that anything that is true about Wisconsin really refers to Milwaukee. It is more complicated than that."

Mauer noted that his organization, which works to address racial disparities, reported in June 2016 that -- among black males and females -- Wisconsin has the second-highest rate of black incarceration in the nation, behind Oklahoma.

(Unlike the UWM study, the Sentencing Project study didn’t include local jails. And no local-level data was reported.)

Our rating

Moore said: Milwaukee has "the highest incarceration rate among African-American men in the country."

There are indications that Milwaukee has a very high black male incarceration rate, including a 2016 study that ranks Wisconsin ranks second in the incarceration of black males and females in state prisons.

But there are no local-level data on a national basis to determine exactly where Milwaukee ranks.

For a statement that is partially accurate, our rating is Half True.